L’École des cotes

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Comesana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 13:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Prévision 34.90%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.521%
Avantage -0.183%
Kelly -0.282%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%34.95%34.94%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.07%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Comesana (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.10%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -4.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%65.05%65.06%66.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.45%68.49%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 12:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.870%E -0.306%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 12:39
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.92%E -0.682%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 12:40
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 12:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.91%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 12:40
GTbets2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.62%E -0.937%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 12:39
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:00
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 12:39
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:39
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:40
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:40
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:39
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 12:40
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 13:05
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 12:39
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.71%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 12:40
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 12:40
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 12:39
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:39
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:39
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:39
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:39
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:05
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:42
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:40
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:40
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 12:40
DraftKings2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 12:40
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 12:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 12:40
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 12:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 12:40
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 12:39
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 12:29
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 12:40
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 12:39
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-05-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-05-06 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-05-06 13:05
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-05-06 12:50
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-05-06 13:05
Novig2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%2.4%2026-05-06 13:05