La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Comesana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 34.90%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.521%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -0.282%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.64%34.95%34.94%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.07%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Comesana (Visitante)
Predicción 65.10%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -4.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%65.05%65.06%66.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.5071.43%68.45%68.49%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -0.521%E -0.183%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.870%E -0.306%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -1.92%E -0.682%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.27%E -0.809%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.91%E -4.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| GTbets | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.62%E -0.937%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:00 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Betsson | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| ReBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.57%E -5.33%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.01%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.71%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.06%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.01%E -2.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.31%E -2.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:42 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.87%E -6.33%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.45%E -2.41%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.50%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.20%E -3.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.55%E -3.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.66%E -2.47%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.96%E -3.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:29 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.25%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.26%E -4.35%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 12:40 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.99%E -4.31%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.61%E -3.87%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 12:39 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.36%E -1.57%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |
| Novig | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51% | 2.4% | 2026-05-06 13:05 |