Language:English
Hubert Hurkacz v Yannick Hanfmann
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%65.23%65.48%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5171.43%68.98%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)
Prediction 34.61%2.89fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.925%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%34.77%34.52%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.752.8440.00%36.72%36.36%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 65.39%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 34.61%. For Hubert Hurkacz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 05:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 05:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 05:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.70%E -0.599%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.39%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 19:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 19:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 07:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |