L’École des cotes

Hubert Hurkacz v Yannick Hanfmann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prévision 65.39%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.837%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.81%65.23%65.48%66.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5171.43%68.98%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -0.925%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%34.77%34.52%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.8440.00%36.72%36.36%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 10:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 10:50
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 10:50
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 10:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 05:14
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:15
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 10:49
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:49
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:50
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:49
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:55
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:09
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:50
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:55
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:45
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:40
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.70%E -0.599%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:50
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 13:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:50
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:45
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:50
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.39%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:55
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 19:24
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 19:24
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:35
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-05-06 10:45
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%2.7%2026-05-06 10:55