La scuola delle quote

Hubert Hurkacz v Yannick Hanfmann

Inizio: 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Casa)

Previsione 65.39%1.53quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.837%
Kelly -2.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.81%65.23%65.48%66.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.441.5171.43%68.98%69.44%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.61%2.89quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -0.599%
Kelly -0.925%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.64%34.77%34.52%37.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.752.8440.00%36.72%36.36%35.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 10:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 10:50
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 10:50
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 10:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 05:14
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 05:15
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 10:49
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:49
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:50
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:49
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:55
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:09
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:50
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:55
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:45
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:40
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.70%E -0.599%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:50
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 13:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:50
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:45
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:50
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.39%E -0.849%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:55
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:55
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 19:24
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 19:24
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:35
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:49
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 19:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-05-06 10:45
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%2.7%2026-05-06 10:55