Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli v Terence Atmane

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 14:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prediction 70.46%1.42fair odd
EV +0.050%
Edge +0.035%
Kelly +0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%70.32%70.33%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.351.4277.52%74.16%74.07%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visit)

Prediction 29.54%3.38fair odd
EV +0.445%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%29.68%29.67%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.153.4034.72%31.80%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 70.46%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 29.54%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.445%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.445%E +0.131%K +0.185%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-09 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.81%E -0.853%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -5.17%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:40
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.41%E -6.47%K -28.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:39
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.76%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:40
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.47%E -2.54%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:32
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:45
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +0.050%E +0.035%K +0.118%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -9.11%E -7.06%K -31.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -0.655%E -0.465%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -13.14%E -4.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-09 14:45
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-05-09 14:45