Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 70.46%1.42cote équitable
EV +0.050%
Avantage +0.035%
Kelly +0.118%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.29%70.32%70.33%71.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.351.4277.52%74.16%74.07%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.54%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.445%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.185%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%29.68%29.67%32.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.143.153.4034.72%31.80%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flavio Cobolli (Local) : 70.46% ; Terence Atmane (Visiteur) : 29.54%. Pour Terence Atmane (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.445%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.445%E +0.131%K +0.185%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-09 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.81%E -0.853%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -5.17%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:40
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.41%E -6.47%K -28.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:39
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.76%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:40
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.47%E -2.54%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:32
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:45
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +0.050%E +0.035%K +0.118%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -9.11%E -7.06%K -31.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -0.655%E -0.465%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -13.14%E -4.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-09 14:45
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-05-09 14:45