A Escola das Odds

Flavio Cobolli v Terence Atmane

Início: 2026-05-09 14:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Previsão 70.46%1.42odd justa
EV +0.050%
Vantagem +0.035%
Kelly +0.118%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.29%70.32%70.33%71.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.351.351.4277.52%74.16%74.07%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Previsão 29.54%3.38odd justa
EV +0.445%
Vantagem +0.131%
Kelly +0.185%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%29.68%29.67%32.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.143.153.4034.72%31.80%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +0.445%E +0.131%K +0.185%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-09 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.51%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:45
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -2.81%E -0.853%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:40
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -3.40%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 14:39
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:38
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:39
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:44
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:44
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -5.17%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 14:39
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:40
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.41%E -6.47%K -28.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.76%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -6.05%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 14:40
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.47%E -2.54%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 14:44
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:39
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.70%E -5.88%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:40
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:39
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.88%E -3.62%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:32
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.59%E -4.17%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.77%E -2.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 14:45
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.18%E -3.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.29%E -4.73%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.00%E -5.30%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 14:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +0.050%E +0.035%K +0.118%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:45
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -9.11%E -7.06%K -31.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:45
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -0.655%E -0.465%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -13.14%E -4.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 14:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.36%E -0.971%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-09 14:44
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-09 14:45
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-05-09 14:45