Language:English
Cristian Garin v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristian Garin (Local)
Prediction 57.28%1.75fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.26%57.29%58.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.7262.50%60.43%60.42%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 42.72%2.34fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.84%42.74%42.71%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.222.2947.62%45.11%45.05%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristian Garin (Local): 57.28%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 42.72%. For Cristian Garin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 06:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.16%E -0.944%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 13:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 13:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 06:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 06:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 05:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 09:53 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.43%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.59%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 13:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 13:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 07:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |