A Escola das Odds

Cristian Garin v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Início: 2026-05-07 14:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cristian Garin (Local)

Previsão 57.28%1.75odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%57.26%57.29%58.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.7262.50%60.43%60.42%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 42.72%2.34odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -0.944%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.84%42.74%42.71%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.222.2947.62%45.11%45.05%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 07:55
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 12:45
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 06:35
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.16%E -0.944%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 13:25
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 13:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:29
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:29
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:29
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:30
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 06:35
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 06:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 05:04
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 09:53
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:29
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 04:50
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 13:30
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 13:30
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.43%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 07:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 04:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.59%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:51
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:54
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:50
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:50
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%1.7%2026-05-07 14:05
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-05-07 14:00