L’École des cotes

Cristian Garin v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 14:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cristian Garin (Local)

Prévision 57.28%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.26%57.29%58.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.7262.50%60.43%60.42%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.72%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.944%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.84%42.74%42.71%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.222.2947.62%45.11%45.05%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -1.48%E -0.863%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 07:55
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.63%E -1.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 12:45
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 06:35
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.16%E -0.944%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 13:25
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 13:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:29
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:29
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:29
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:30
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 06:35
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 06:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 05:04
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 09:53
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 04:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:29
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.35%E -2.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 04:50
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 13:30
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 13:30
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.43%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 07:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 04:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 04:50
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.59%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.70%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.87%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 07:50
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.07%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:51
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 07:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -5.15%E -2.32%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:54
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.14%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:50
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:50
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.36%E -5.22%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-07 14:05
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%1.7%2026-05-07 14:05
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-05-07 14:00