Language:English
Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 77.60%1.29fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -8.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.40%77.52%77.70%79.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.221.2684.03%81.41%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karen Khachanov (Visit)
Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%22.48%22.30%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.154.104.7026.67%24.08%24.39%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 77.60%; Karen Khachanov (Visit): 22.40%. For Karen Khachanov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +5.28%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 13:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.86%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 22.14%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 12:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.99%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 22.01%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 13:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 13:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.05%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 13:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 13:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -9.50%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 13:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.88%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-13 13:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.66% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 13:10 |