مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov

البداية: 2026-05-13 13:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.60%1.29السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -1.77%
Kelly -8.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.40%77.52%77.70%79.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.231.221.2684.03%81.41%81.97%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Karen Khachanov (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.40%4.46السعر العادل
EV +5.28%
الأفضلية +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.075%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.47%22.48%22.30%24.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.154.104.7026.67%24.08%24.39%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +5.28%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075%3.9%2026-05-13 13:09
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.86%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.14%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 12:57
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.99%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.01%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 13:10
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 13:10
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 13:10
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 12:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:10
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:04
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 13:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 13:10
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:09
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:01
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:05
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:08
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 13:10
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.05%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 13:04
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 13:08
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -9.50%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:10
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:09
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 12:59
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:08
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.88%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 13:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.66%2.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-05-13 13:10