Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 13:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prévision 77.60%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -8.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.40%77.52%77.70%79.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.231.221.2684.03%81.41%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.40%4.46cote équitable
EV +5.28%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.48%22.30%24.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.154.104.7026.67%24.08%24.39%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Casper Ruud (Local) : 77.60% ; Karen Khachanov (Visiteur) : 22.40%. Pour Karen Khachanov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.46. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +5.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +5.28%E +1.12%K +1.43%G +0.075%3.9%2026-05-13 13:09
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.86%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.14%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 12:57
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.99%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.01%EV -0.764%E -0.173%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.11%E -5.05%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 13:10
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 13:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 12:59
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 13:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 13:00
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:09
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:01
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 13:00
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.66%E -6.43%K -40.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 13:10
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.05%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 13:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.23%E -1.77%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -9.50%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.00%E -2.40%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:09
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.55%E -3.70%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.88%E -5.73%K -34.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.76%E -3.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:08
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.78%E -3.05%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.88%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 13:10
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.33%E -4.37%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 13:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-05-13 13:10
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.66%2.1%2026-05-13 13:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-05-13 13:10