Language:English
Casper Ruud v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casper Ruud (Local)
Prediction 66.62%1.50fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +2.93%
Kelly +8.07%
Growth +0.371%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%66.27%66.67%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.441.421.5775.76%69.51%70.42%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 33.38%3.00fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%33.73%33.33%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.742.753.1041.67%36.53%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casper Ruud (Local): 66.62%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 33.38%. For Casper Ruud (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV +4.60%E +2.93%K +8.07%G +0.371% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV +3.93%E +2.52%K +7.03%G +0.276% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -17.90%E -7.28%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.27%E +2.11%K +5.94%G +0.194% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +2.60%E +1.69%K +4.82%G +0.125% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 09:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 09:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 09:06 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 08:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -1.40%E -0.943%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -15.89%E -6.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.89%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.88%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +2.46%E +0.802%K +1.19%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +3.46%E +1.12%K +1.65%G +0.057% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -12.06%E -9.13%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |