مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Jiri Lehecka

البداية: 2026-05-10 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.62%1.50السعر العادل
EV +4.60%
الأفضلية +2.93%
Kelly +8.07%
النمو +0.371%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.76%66.27%66.67%69.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.441.421.5775.76%69.51%70.42%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.38%3.00السعر العادل
EV +3.46%
الأفضلية +1.12%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.02%33.73%33.33%39.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.742.753.1041.67%36.53%36.36%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV +4.60%E +2.93%K +8.07%G +0.371%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 09:09
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV +3.93%E +2.52%K +7.03%G +0.276%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -17.90%E -7.28%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:06
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.27%E +2.11%K +5.94%G +0.194%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:09
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +2.60%E +1.69%K +4.82%G +0.125%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 09:04
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 09:11
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 09:13
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 09:09
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:07
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:04
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:07
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:10
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:06
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 08:58
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 09:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:07
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 09:07
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 08:59
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -1.40%E -0.943%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -15.89%E -6.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 09:00
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 09:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 09:15
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:14
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 09:15
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.89%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 09:14
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016%4.2%2026-05-10 09:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 09:14
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:14
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 09:14
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 09:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:14
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:15
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 09:13
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016%5.3%2026-05-10 09:15
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016%5.3%2026-05-10 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016%5.3%2026-05-10 09:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:14
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 09:15
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 09:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.88%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 09:14
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +2.46%E +0.802%K +1.19%G +0.029%5.6%2026-05-10 09:14
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 09:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:15
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 09:14
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +3.46%E +1.12%K +1.65%G +0.057%7.4%2026-05-10 09:14
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 09:14
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -12.06%E -9.13%K -37.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 09:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-05-10 09:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-05-10 09:15
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-05-10 09:15
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-05-10 09:10
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-05-10 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-05-10 09:14