La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Casper Ruud v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Casper Ruud (Local)
Predicción 66.62%1.50momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +2.93%
Kelly +8.07%
Crecimiento +0.371%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%66.27%66.67%69.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.441.421.5775.76%69.51%70.42%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 33.38%3.00momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%33.73%33.33%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.742.753.1041.67%36.53%36.36%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV +4.60%E +2.93%K +8.07%G +0.371% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV +3.93%E +2.52%K +7.03%G +0.276% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -17.90%E -7.28%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.27%E +2.11%K +5.94%G +0.194% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +2.60%E +1.69%K +4.82%G +0.125% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 09:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 09:13 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -13.89%E -5.38%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +1.94%E +1.27%K +3.65%G +0.071% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV +0.604%E +0.400%K +1.18%G +0.007% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 09:06 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 08:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 09:07 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -0.063%E -0.042%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.729%E -0.489%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -1.40%E -0.943%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -15.89%E -6.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 09:00 |
| Fliff | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 09:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -8.89%E -3.25%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 09:13 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.875%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.88%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV +2.46%E +0.802%K +1.19%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.54%E -0.523%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.72%E -6.37%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.39%E -6.90%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.06%E -7.45%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +3.46%E +1.12%K +1.65%G +0.057% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +0.125%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -11.39%E -8.56%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -12.06%E -9.13%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 09:15 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 09:14 |