Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 57.97%1.72fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.95%57.99%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.43%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)
Prediction 42.03%2.38fair odd
EV +0.020%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.015%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%42.05%42.01%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3847.62%44.30%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 57.97%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 42.03%. For Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3795. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.3800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.020%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +0.020%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.14%E -6.54%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.02%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.28%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.12%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 10:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:27 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |