La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Brandon Nakashima v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Predicción 57.97%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.00%57.95%57.99%60.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.43%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visitante)
Predicción 42.03%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.020%
Ventaja +0.009%
Kelly +0.015%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.90%42.05%42.01%44.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.282.3847.62%44.30%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +0.020%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.14%E -6.54%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.02%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.28%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.12%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 10:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:27 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 10:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 10:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-05-11 10:35 |