A Escola das Odds

Brandon Nakashima v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Início: 2026-05-11 10:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Previsão 57.97%1.72odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.00%57.95%57.99%60.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.43%61.73%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visitante)

Previsão 42.03%2.38odd justa
EV +0.020%
Vantagem +0.009%
Kelly +0.015%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.90%42.05%42.01%44.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.262.282.3847.62%44.30%43.86%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +0.020%E +0.009%K +0.015%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:30
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 10:34
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.50%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.26%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:34
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 10:30
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 10:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:34
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 10:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:29
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:29
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:35
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:34
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.14%E -6.54%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 10:29
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:34
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.18%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:34
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 10:34
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 10:29
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.02%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:30
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:29
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:34
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:30
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.38%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.44%E -2.42%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.28%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.12%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 10:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:33
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 10:29
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 10:34
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 10:34
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 10:29
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 10:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.54%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 10:27
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.18%E -1.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 10:30
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.75%E -5.59%K -10.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-11 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-11 10:35
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-11 10:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-11 10:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-05-11 10:34
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-05-11 10:35