Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 72.54%1.38fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.57%72.40%72.61%74.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.35%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)
Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%27.60%27.39%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.7532.26%29.16%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 72.54%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 27.46%. For Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.99%E +0.798%K +1.09%G +0.033% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%EV +1.62%E +0.437%K +0.599%G +0.010% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.244%E +0.067%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.13%E -0.314%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.705%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.784%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -6.35%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -1.35%E -0.994%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -14.59%E -4.69%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |