La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 72.54%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.994%
Kelly -3.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.57%72.40%72.61%74.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.35%76.34%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visitante)
Predicción 27.46%3.64momio equitativo
EV +2.99%
Ventaja +0.798%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%27.60%27.39%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.7532.26%29.16%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.99%E +0.798%K +1.09%G +0.033% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%EV +1.62%E +0.437%K +0.599%G +0.010% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.244%E +0.067%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.13%E -0.314%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.705%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.784%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 14:49 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| ReBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -6.35%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 14:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Casumo | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -1.35%E -0.994%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -14.59%E -4.69%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 14:45 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 14:46 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 14:51 |