La scuola delle quote

Andrey Rublev v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Inizio: 2026-05-12 14:55 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 72.54%1.38quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.994%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.57%72.40%72.61%74.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.35%76.34%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV +2.99%
Vantaggio +0.798%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.89%27.60%27.39%30.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.433.403.7532.26%29.16%29.41%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.99%E +0.798%K +1.09%G +0.033%3.0%2026-05-12 14:45
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%EV +1.62%E +0.437%K +0.599%G +0.010%2.2%2026-05-12 14:46
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004%4.7%2026-05-12 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV +1.07%E +0.290%K +0.399%G +0.004%4.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.244%E +0.067%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.13%E -0.314%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 14:45
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.50%E -0.705%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 14:45
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.784%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 14:45
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 14:45
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:46
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:46
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 14:49
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 14:51
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 14:44
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 14:45
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 14:45
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 14:46
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 14:45
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 14:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 14:45
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -6.35%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 14:44
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:46
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:46
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:46
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:46
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 14:45
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 14:46
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:45
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 14:45
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.43%E -4.98%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.88%E -6.20%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 14:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.25%E -3.22%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.98%E -3.80%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 14:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 14:45
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 14:46
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 14:50
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 14:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.15%E -5.59%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.37%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 14:46
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.70%E -4.39%K -19.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.11%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 14:46
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -1.35%E -0.994%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -14.59%E -4.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 14:45
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.53%E -2.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 14:46
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-12 14:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-12 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-12 14:51
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-12 14:51
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-05-12 14:51
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%2.3%2026-05-12 14:51