Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Andrea Pellegrino v Arthur Fils
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Andrea Pellegrino (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 11.29%8.85kurs godziwy
EV +21.97%
Przewaga +2.03%
Kelly +2.24%
Wzrost +0.493%
przy maksymalnym kursie 10.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.86%11.28%11.20%13.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.008.078.0010.8014.29%12.40%12.50%9.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fils (Goście)
Prognoza 88.71%1.13kurs godziwy
EV +0.238%
Przewaga +0.211%
Kelly +1.83%
Wzrost +0.004%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.13
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
86.53%88.72%88.80%91.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.031.081.081.1397.09%92.96%92.59%88.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +21.97%E +2.03%K +2.24%G +0.493% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +18.58%E +1.77%K +1.96%G +0.364% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| BoyleSports | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.75%EV +2.21%E +0.244%K +0.274%G +0.006% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.25%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.63%E -8.38%K -287.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Fanatics | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -1.74%E -0.201%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 1xBet | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.10%EV -2.31%E -0.267%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.90%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -2.87%E -0.334%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetUS | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betsson | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ReBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -7.39%E -0.901%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 19:03 |
| Fliff | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.51%EV -7.96%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.49%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| William Hill | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| GTbets | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.68%EV -12.13%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.32%EV +0.238%E +0.211%K +1.83%G +0.004% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 19:02 |
| theScore Bet | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.47%E -1.61%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bally Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Neds | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Everygame | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Novig | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |