مدرسة الاحتمالات

Andrea Pellegrino v Arthur Fils

البداية: 2026-05-09 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Andrea Pellegrino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 11.29%8.85السعر العادل
EV +21.97%
الأفضلية +2.03%
Kelly +2.24%
النمو +0.493%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.86%11.28%11.20%13.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.008.078.0010.8014.29%12.40%12.50%9.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 88.71%1.13السعر العادل
EV +0.238%
الأفضلية +0.211%
Kelly +1.83%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.53%88.72%88.80%91.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.081.081.1397.09%92.96%92.59%88.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +21.97%E +2.03%K +2.24%G +0.493%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:10
SportsBet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +18.58%E +1.77%K +1.96%G +0.364%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:09
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:10
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:04
Pinnacle9.05I 11.05%NM 10.75%EV +2.21%E +0.244%K +0.274%G +0.006%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.25%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 19:05
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:04
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.63%E -8.38%K -287.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 19:04
Fanatics8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -1.74%E -0.201%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:04
1xBet8.65I 11.56%NM 11.10%EV -2.31%E -0.267%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.90%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 19:05
Betclic (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -2.87%E -0.334%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:08
LowVig.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:04
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:04
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:04
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:05
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:04
NetBet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:04
Unibet (FR)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:05
NordicBet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:04
Betsson8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:05
ReBet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:05
Marathon Bet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -7.39%E -0.901%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 19:03
Fliff8.15I 12.27%NM 11.51%EV -7.96%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.49%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 19:10
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:05
Codere (IT)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:04
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:05
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:04
GTbets7.78I 12.85%NM 12.68%EV -12.13%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.32%EV +0.238%E +0.211%K +1.83%G +0.004%1.3%2026-05-09 19:02
theScore Bet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.47%E -1.61%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 19:04
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:05
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:05
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:04
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:05
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:05
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:04
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:04
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 19:04
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 19:04
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 19:04
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:04
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-09 19:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-09 19:10
Novig9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%1.9%2026-05-09 19:10
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-05-09 19:10