La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Andrea Pellegrino v Arthur Fils
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Andrea Pellegrino (Casa)
Previsione 11.29%8.85quota equa
EV +21.97%
Vantaggio +2.03%
Kelly +2.24%
Crescita +0.493%
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.86%11.28%11.20%13.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.078.0010.8014.29%12.40%12.50%9.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arthur Fils (Trasferta)
Previsione 88.71%1.13quota equa
EV +0.238%
Vantaggio +0.211%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.53%88.72%88.80%91.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.081.081.1397.09%92.96%92.59%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +21.97%E +2.03%K +2.24%G +0.493% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +18.58%E +1.77%K +1.96%G +0.364% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| BoyleSports | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.75%EV +2.21%E +0.244%K +0.274%G +0.006% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.25%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.63%E -8.38%K -287.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Fanatics | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -1.74%E -0.201%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 1xBet | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.10%EV -2.31%E -0.267%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.90%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -2.87%E -0.334%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetUS | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betsson | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ReBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -7.39%E -0.901%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 19:03 |
| Fliff | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.51%EV -7.96%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.49%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| William Hill | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| GTbets | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.68%EV -12.13%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.32%EV +0.238%E +0.211%K +1.83%G +0.004% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 19:02 |
| theScore Bet | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.47%E -1.61%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Casumo | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| betPARX | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bally Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Neds | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Everygame | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Novig | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |