Langue:Français
Andrea Pellegrino v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Andrea Pellegrino (Local)
Prévision 11.29%8.85cote équitable
EV +21.97%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +2.24%
Croissance +0.493%
avec la cote maximale 10.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.86%11.28%11.20%13.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.078.0010.8014.29%12.40%12.50%9.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 88.71%1.13cote équitable
EV +0.238%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.53%88.72%88.80%91.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.081.081.1397.09%92.96%92.59%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andrea Pellegrino (Local) : 11.29% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 88.71%. Pour Andrea Pellegrino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.85. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.80, soit une espérance positive de +21.97%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +21.97%E +2.03%K +2.24%G +0.493% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +18.58%E +1.77%K +1.96%G +0.364% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +12.94%E +1.29%K +1.44%G +0.186% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.75%EV +2.21%E +0.244%K +0.274%G +0.006% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.25%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +1.64%E +0.183%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.63%E -8.38%K -287.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV -1.74%E -0.201%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.10%EV -2.31%E -0.267%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.90%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -2.87%E -0.334%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -3.55%E -0.416%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.00%E -0.471%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.86%E -6.53%K -137.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -5.13%E -0.611%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -7.39%E -0.901%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 19:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.51%EV -7.96%E -0.976%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.49%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.65%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.68%EV -12.13%E -1.56%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.32%EV +0.238%E +0.211%K +1.83%G +0.004% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 19:02 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -12.47%E -1.61%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.30%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.97%E -5.63%K -99.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.31%E -3.04%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.89%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.94%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.08%E -4.75%K -72.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Novig◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |