Language:English
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Denis Shapovalov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prediction 35.65%2.81fair odd
EV -0.179%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.79%35.68%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.602.8040.82%38.22%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visit)
Prediction 64.35%1.55fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.21%64.32%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5370.42%66.98%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 35.65%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 64.35%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.179%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.61%E -0.582%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.19%E -1.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.81%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 00:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.62%E -6.07%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 00:27 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.45%E -3.72%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.59%E -4.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 01:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 01:10 |