L’École des cotes

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Denis Shapovalov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 01:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Prévision 35.65%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.179%
Avantage -0.064%
Kelly -0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%35.79%35.68%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.622.602.8040.82%38.22%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.35%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.21%64.32%65.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5370.42%66.98%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:38
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:40
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.61%E -0.582%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 00:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:29
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:39
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:54
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.19%E -1.44%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 00:29
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:29
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:40
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:39
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.81%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 00:39
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:39
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:39
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 00:45
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 00:30
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.62%E -6.07%K -20.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 00:30
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 00:29
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 00:29
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:29
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 00:30
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 00:27
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:28
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 00:30
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.45%E -3.72%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 00:30
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 00:29
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.59%E -4.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:15
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:10
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-03-07 01:10
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-03-07 01:10