La scuola delle quote

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Denis Shapovalov

Inizio: 2026-03-07 01:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)

Previsione 35.65%2.81quota equa
EV -0.179%
Vantaggio -0.064%
Kelly -0.100%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.12%35.79%35.68%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.622.602.8040.82%38.22%38.46%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.35%1.55quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%64.21%64.32%65.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.491.501.5370.42%66.98%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:38
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.179%E -0.064%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:40
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.61%E -0.582%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 00:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:29
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.96%E -0.713%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:39
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.03%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:54
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.19%E -1.44%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 00:29
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:29
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.83%E -1.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 00:30
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:40
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:39
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:39
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.74%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.81%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 00:39
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:30
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 00:39
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:39
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 00:45
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.34%E -5.09%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 00:30
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.62%E -6.07%K -20.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 00:30
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.12%E -2.76%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 00:29
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.88%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 00:29
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:30
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:29
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 00:30
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.05%E -4.14%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.69%E -4.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 00:27
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:29
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:28
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.09%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 00:30
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.45%E -3.72%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.54%E -1.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 00:30
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 00:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.87%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 00:29
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.59%E -4.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.66%E -5.17%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 00:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:15
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-07 01:10
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-03-07 01:10
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-03-07 01:10