La scuola delle quote

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Denis Shapovalov

Inizio: 2026-03-05 04:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 54.84%1.82quota equa
EV -0.198%
Vantaggio -0.109%
Kelly -0.242%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.36%54.85%54.81%56.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.741.731.8259.88%57.60%57.80%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.16%2.21quota equa
EV +0.715%
Vantaggio +0.321%
Kelly +0.581%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.26%45.15%45.19%47.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.2350.00%47.73%47.62%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.715%E +0.321%K +0.581%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-05 04:45
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.715%E +0.321%K +0.581%G +0.004%3.7%2026-03-05 04:45
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 04:15
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 04:45
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 04:35
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.33%E -4.34%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 04:20
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -7.33%E -4.34%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -2.45%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 04:20
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 04:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 04:14
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 04:45
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 04:45
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 04:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 04:09
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 04:09
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:10
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 04:10
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 04:10
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 04:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 04:10
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:25
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 04:20
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 04:10
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 04:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 04:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 04:20
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 04:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 04:25
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 04:25
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 04:20
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.746%E -0.412%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.22%E -4.59%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 04:45
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.198%E -0.109%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.29%E -0.719%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 04:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 04:25
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 04:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 04:45
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 04:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-03-05 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-03-05 04:45
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-03-05 04:30