La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Denis Shapovalov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 54.84%1.82momio equitativo
EV -0.198%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.242%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%54.85%54.81%56.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.731.8259.88%57.60%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 45.16%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.715%
Ventaja +0.321%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%45.15%45.19%47.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2350.00%47.73%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.715%E +0.321%K +0.581%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.715%E +0.321%K +0.581%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 04:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.33%E -4.34%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.54%E -0.708%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -7.33%E -4.34%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -2.45%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 04:44 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 04:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 04:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.70%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 04:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.04%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.64%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.41%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.746%E -0.412%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.22%E -4.59%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.198%E -0.109%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.29%E -0.719%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 04:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 04:30 |