A Escola das Odds

Sebastian Korda v Francisco Comesana

Início: 2026-03-06 02:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sebastian Korda (Local)

Previsão 81.30%1.23odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -12.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.95%81.22%81.32%82.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.56%85.47%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Comesana (Visitante)

Previsão 18.70%5.35odd justa
EV +4.89%
Vantagem +0.871%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.04%18.78%18.68%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.005.005.6122.22%20.00%20.00%17.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052%4.0%2026-03-06 02:45
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052%4.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018%5.9%2026-03-06 02:45
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.13%E -7.19%K -62.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018%6.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV +1.71%E +0.314%K +0.385%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%6.2%2026-03-06 02:39
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.721%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.94%E -7.98%K -74.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -0.908%E -0.171%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.25%E -2.73%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 02:39
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:45
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:43
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:31
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:44
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 02:44
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:45
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:39
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:44
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:44
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:37
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 02:45
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.32%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:44
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:37
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:45
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.13%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -13.06%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 02:45
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:33
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.05%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.95%2.0%2026-03-06 02:45