Langue:Français
Sebastian Korda v Francisco Comesana
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Korda (Local)
Prévision 81.30%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -12.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%81.22%81.32%82.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.56%85.47%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.70%5.35cote équitable
EV +4.89%
Avantage +0.871%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 5.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.04%18.78%18.68%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.005.005.6122.22%20.00%20.00%17.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sebastian Korda (Local) : 81.30% ; Francisco Comesana (Visiteur) : 18.70%. Pour Francisco Comesana (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.35. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.61, soit une espérance positive de +4.89%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.13%E -7.19%K -62.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV +1.71%E +0.314%K +0.385%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.721%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.94%E -7.98%K -74.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -0.908%E -0.171%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.25%E -2.73%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.32%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.13%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -13.06%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.05% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.95% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |