Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Korda v Francisco Comesana

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-06 02:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Korda (Heim)

Prognose 81.30%1.23faire Quote
EV -2.44%
Vorteil -2.03%
Kelly -12.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.95%81.22%81.32%82.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.56%85.47%83.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Francisco Comesana (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.70%5.35faire Quote
EV +4.89%
Vorteil +0.871%
Kelly +1.06%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.04%18.78%18.68%21.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.005.005.6122.22%20.00%20.00%17.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052%4.0%2026-03-06 02:45
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +4.89%E +0.871%K +1.06%G +0.052%4.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018%5.9%2026-03-06 02:45
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.13%E -7.19%K -62.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +2.83%E +0.515%K +0.629%G +0.018%6.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.18%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.82%EV +1.71%E +0.314%K +0.385%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.31%E -6.42%K -52.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +0.961%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%6.2%2026-03-06 02:39
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -0.721%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.94%E -7.98%K -74.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -0.908%E -0.171%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.25%E -2.73%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 02:39
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:45
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.84%E -0.351%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:43
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:31
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.78%E -0.534%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 02:45
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:44
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.65%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 02:44
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:45
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:39
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:44
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.52%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:44
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:37
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.69%E -4.90%K -35.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.39%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 02:45
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -9.32%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.26%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:44
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:37
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.19%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:45
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -12.13%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.50%E -5.65%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -13.06%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.06%E -3.44%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.00%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 02:45
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:45
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.44%E -2.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:39
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:33
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.87%E -4.17%K -28.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.87%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.05%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.95%2.0%2026-03-06 02:45