A Escola das Odds

Reilly Opelka v Ethan Quinn

Início: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Reilly Opelka (Local)

Previsão 48.09%2.08odd justa
EV +8.19%
Vantagem +3.64%
Kelly +6.56%
Crescimento +0.537%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.18%48.35%48.93%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.931.912.2558.82%51.88%52.36%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Previsão 51.91%1.93odd justa
EV +9.02%
Vantagem +4.29%
Kelly +8.20%
Crescimento +0.739%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%51.65%51.07%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.861.852.1059.52%53.80%54.05%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -16.81%E -9.72%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.02%E +4.29%K +8.20%G +0.739%5.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%4.3%2026-03-04 21:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%5.9%2026-03-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.25%E -10.74%K -26.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%7.6%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -15.37%E -8.73%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%5.8%2026-03-04 21:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -14.41%E -8.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +4.87%E +2.41%K +4.77%G +0.232%5.7%2026-03-04 21:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%5.6%2026-03-04 21:15
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV +2.27%E +1.15%K +2.34%G +0.053%7.9%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV +1.75%E +0.893%K +1.82%G +0.032%8.5%2026-03-04 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%6.8%2026-03-04 21:14
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:13
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:15
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:14
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -11.52%E -6.26%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.19%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:13
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:14
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 21:13
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:15
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:09
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.019%E +0.009%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:09
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:14
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:05
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +1.94%E +0.916%K +1.73%G +0.034%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:06
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +8.19%E +3.64%K +6.56%G +0.537%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 21:14
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:09
Unibet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +4.35%E +2.00%K +3.72%G +0.162%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -12.27%E -7.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:09
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:08
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-03-04 21:15