La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Reilly Opelka v Ethan Quinn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Reilly Opelka (Local)
Predicción 48.09%2.08momio equitativo
EV +8.19%
Ventaja +3.64%
Kelly +6.56%
Crecimiento +0.537%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.18%48.35%48.93%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.931.912.2558.82%51.88%52.36%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ethan Quinn (Visitante)
Predicción 51.91%1.93momio equitativo
EV +9.02%
Ventaja +4.29%
Kelly +8.20%
Crecimiento +0.739%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%51.65%51.07%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.861.852.1059.52%53.80%54.05%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -16.81%E -9.72%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.02%E +4.29%K +8.20%G +0.739% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.25%E -10.74%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -15.37%E -8.73%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -14.41%E -8.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +4.87%E +2.41%K +4.77%G +0.232% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV +2.27%E +1.15%K +2.34%G +0.053% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV +1.75%E +0.893%K +1.82%G +0.032% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:13 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -11.52%E -6.26%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.19%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:13 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 21:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.019%E +0.009%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| GTbets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +1.94%E +0.916%K +1.73%G +0.034% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 21:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +8.19%E +3.64%K +6.56%G +0.537% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 21:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +4.35%E +2.00%K +3.72%G +0.162% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -12.27%E -7.26%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |