مدرسة الاحتمالات

Reilly Opelka v Ethan Quinn

البداية: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Reilly Opelka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.09%2.08السعر العادل
EV +8.19%
الأفضلية +3.64%
Kelly +6.56%
النمو +0.537%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.18%48.35%48.93%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.931.912.2558.82%51.88%52.36%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ethan Quinn (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.91%1.93السعر العادل
EV +9.02%
الأفضلية +4.29%
Kelly +8.20%
النمو +0.739%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%51.65%51.07%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.861.852.1059.52%53.80%54.05%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -16.81%E -9.72%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.02%E +4.29%K +8.20%G +0.739%5.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%4.3%2026-03-04 21:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%5.9%2026-03-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.25%E -10.74%K -26.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.42%E +3.13%K +6.12%G +0.393%7.6%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -13.93%E -7.78%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%4.9%2026-03-04 21:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -15.37%E -8.73%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +5.90%E +2.89%K +5.68%G +0.335%5.8%2026-03-04 21:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -14.41%E -8.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +4.87%E +2.41%K +4.77%G +0.232%5.7%2026-03-04 21:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%5.6%2026-03-04 21:15
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.89%E -8.41%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.83%E +1.91%K +3.83%G +0.147%6.5%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -15.85%E -9.06%K -21.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV +2.27%E +1.15%K +2.34%G +0.053%7.9%2026-03-04 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV +1.75%E +0.893%K +1.82%G +0.032%8.5%2026-03-04 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.44%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.23%E +0.632%K +1.30%G +0.016%6.8%2026-03-04 21:14
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:13
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -16.33%E -9.39%K -22.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -0.845%E -0.442%K -0.928%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:15
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:14
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -11.52%E -6.26%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:15
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.19%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -12.00%E -6.56%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:13
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:14
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 21:13
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 21:15
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:09
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.33%G +0.129%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:09
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +0.019%E +0.009%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:09
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:14
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:05
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +1.94%E +0.916%K +1.73%G +0.034%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 21:06
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +1.46%E +0.693%K +1.32%G +0.019%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 21:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +8.19%E +3.64%K +6.56%G +0.537%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 21:14
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.981%E +0.467%K +0.892%G +0.009%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.23%E -6.57%K -15.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:09
Unibet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +4.35%E +2.00%K +3.72%G +0.162%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.75%E -6.91%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -12.27%E -7.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:09
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:08
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +3.39%E +1.57%K +2.94%G +0.100%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -12.78%E -7.61%K -18.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 21:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-04 21:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-03-04 21:15