A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Emilio Nava

Início: 2026-03-06 01:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 60.09%1.66odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -3.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.75%60.02%60.15%61.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.46%63.69%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Emilio Nava (Visitante)

Previsão 39.91%2.51odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.905%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%39.98%39.85%41.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.402.4544.44%42.07%41.67%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.06%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:10
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:08
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.41%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:07
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:58
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:10
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.61%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 01:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:06
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:15
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:09
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.46%E -4.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:09
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-03-06 01:15