مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nuno Borges v Emilio Nava

البداية: 2026-03-06 01:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nuno Borges (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.09%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -3.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.75%60.02%60.15%61.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.46%63.69%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Emilio Nava (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.91%2.51السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.905%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.90%39.98%39.85%41.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.382.402.4544.44%42.07%41.67%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.06%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 01:10
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:08
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:59
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.41%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 01:10
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:07
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:10
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:58
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 01:10
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 01:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:10
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:15
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.61%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 01:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 01:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:06
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 01:15
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:09
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:10
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.46%E -4.85%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:09
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 01:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 01:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-03-06 01:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-03-06 01:15