La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Emilio Nava
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 60.09%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.75%60.02%60.15%61.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.46%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Emilio Nava (Visitante)
Predicción 39.91%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.905%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%39.98%39.85%41.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.402.4544.44%42.07%41.67%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.06%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.66%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 01:08 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.26%E -2.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.41%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:07 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.86%E -2.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.46%E -2.80%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.61%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.41%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:06 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.20%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.61%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.22%E -0.905%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.26%E -4.01%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.46%E -4.85%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.01%E -2.11%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.21%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.67%E -5.70%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |