StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 01:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Novak Djokovic (Hemma)

Prognos 57.56%1.74rättvist odds
EV -1.57%
Fördel -0.921%
Kelly -2.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.12%57.53%57.69%59.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.661.661.7164.10%60.14%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jack Draper (Borta)

Prognos 42.44%2.36rättvist odds
EV +1.86%
Fördel +0.775%
Kelly +1.33%
Tillväxt +0.025%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.15%42.47%42.31%44.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.15%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Novak Djokovic (Hemma): 57.56%; Jack Draper (Borta): 42.44%. För Jack Draper (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.36. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.86%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.86%E +0.775%K +1.33%G +0.025%3.8%2026-03-12 00:46
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.687%E -0.294%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 01:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:06
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 01:06
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 01:06
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:06
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 01:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 21:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:06
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:59
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 00:37
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 01:06
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.05%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:37
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 01:06
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:00
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:35
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 09:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 01:06
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-12 01:06