A Escola das Odds

Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper

Início: 2026-03-12 01:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Novak Djokovic (Local)

Previsão 57.56%1.74odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.921%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.12%57.53%57.69%59.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.661.661.7164.10%60.14%60.24%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jack Draper (Visitante)

Previsão 42.44%2.36odd justa
EV +1.86%
Vantagem +0.775%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.15%42.47%42.31%44.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.15%45.45%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.86%E +0.775%K +1.33%G +0.025%3.8%2026-03-12 00:46
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.687%E -0.294%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 01:05
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 01:06
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:06
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:05
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 01:06
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 01:06
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:06
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 01:06
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 00:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:06
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 21:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:06
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 00:37
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 01:06
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.05%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:37
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 21:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 01:06
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:04
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 09:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 01:06
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-12 01:06