La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Predicción 57.56%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.921%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%57.53%57.69%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.661.7164.10%60.14%60.24%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.775%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%42.47%42.31%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.15%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.86%E +0.775%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 00:46 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.687%E -0.294%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 01:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 00:37 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.05%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 00:37 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 21:35 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-12 01:06 |