مدرسة الاحتمالات

Novak Djokovic v Jack Draper

البداية: 2026-03-12 01:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Novak Djokovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.56%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.921%
Kelly -2.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.12%57.53%57.69%59.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.661.661.7164.10%60.14%60.24%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jack Draper (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.44%2.36السعر العادل
EV +1.86%
الأفضلية +0.775%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.15%42.47%42.31%44.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.15%45.45%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +1.86%E +0.775%K +1.33%G +0.025%3.8%2026-03-12 00:46
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.687%E -0.294%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 01:05
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 01:06
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:06
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 01:05
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -1.54%E -0.662%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:06
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 01:06
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.08%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 01:06
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 01:06
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 01:06
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 01:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:49
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 00:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:06
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 21:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:06
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 01:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 00:37
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 01:06
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -7.05%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:37
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 21:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 01:06
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 00:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:00
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 01:04
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:35
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.57%E -0.921%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-12 01:06
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 01:06
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-12 01:06