Language:English
Marton Fucsovics v Christopher O'Connell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Prediction 54.56%1.83fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.87%54.68%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.751.7962.50%57.48%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christopher O'Connell (Visit)
Prediction 45.44%2.20fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +0.794%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%45.13%45.32%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.062.2450.00%48.03%48.54%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 54.56%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 45.44%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +1.78%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 10:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 16:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.79%E -4.61%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |