La scuola delle quote

Marton Fucsovics v Christopher O'Connell

Inizio: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Marton Fucsovics (Casa)

Previsione 54.56%1.83quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%54.87%54.68%57.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.741.751.7962.50%57.48%57.14%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Christopher O'Connell (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.44%2.20quota equa
EV +1.78%
Vantaggio +0.794%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.11%45.13%45.32%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.062.2450.00%48.03%48.54%44.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +1.78%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:10
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:55
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:45
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 20:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 10:49
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:55
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 09:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 15:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 16:59
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 15:40
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:35
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:14
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 10:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:39
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 14:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:25
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:56
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.79%E -4.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:54
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-04 21:45