Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marton Fucsovics v Christopher O'Connell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prévision 54.56%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.87%54.68%57.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.741.751.7962.50%57.48%57.14%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.44%2.20cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.794%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.11%45.13%45.32%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.062.2450.00%48.03%48.54%44.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marton Fucsovics (Local) : 54.56% ; Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur) : 45.44%. Pour Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.24, soit une espérance positive de +1.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -9.97%E -6.04%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +1.78%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%5.2%2026-03-04 21:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.039%E -0.018%K -0.032%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.31%E -1.07%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 19:45
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.33%E -1.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.67%E -1.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.13%E -1.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:55
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.58%E -2.18%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 16:59
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.04%E -2.41%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.88%E -1.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.49%E -2.64%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:35
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.40%E -3.11%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.97%E -2.26%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 19:14
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 10:50
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.06%E -2.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:25
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 16:56
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.79%E -4.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.85%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 15:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.70%E -3.92%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.22%E -4.07%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 21:54
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.61%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-04 21:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-04 21:45