Language:English
Kamil Majchrzak v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Prediction 77.01%1.30fair odd
EV +31.69%
Edge +18.53%
Kelly +44.64%
Growth +14.15%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.73%73.44%76.85%79.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.351.251.7185.47%73.91%80.00%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit)
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.122%
assuming max odds 4.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%26.56%23.15%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.153.493.804.6446.51%28.62%26.32%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 77.01%; Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visit): 22.99%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.30. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV +31.69%E +18.53%K +44.64%G +14.15% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -48.97%E -22.06%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +27.84%E +16.77%K +42.19%G +11.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -47.13%E -20.49%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +20.91%E +13.32%K +36.69%G +7.67% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.85%E -6.43%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.96%E -2.35%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -18.40%E -5.18%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.335%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +6.66%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.122% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -0.470%E -0.108%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.29%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -11.96%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.89%E -8.46%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |