La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 77.01%1.30momio equitativo
EV +31.69%
Ventaja +18.53%
Kelly +44.64%
Crecimiento +14.15%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.73%73.44%76.85%79.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.351.251.7185.47%73.91%80.00%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Visitante)
Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV +6.66%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.122%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%26.56%23.15%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.153.493.804.6446.51%28.62%26.32%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV +31.69%E +18.53%K +44.64%G +14.15% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +30.15%E +17.84%K +43.70%G +13.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -48.97%E -22.06%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +28.61%E +17.13%K +42.71%G +12.22% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +27.84%E +16.77%K +42.19%G +11.75% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +27.07%E +16.41%K +41.65%G +11.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -48.05%E -21.26%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +26.30%E +16.04%K +41.10%G +10.81% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -50.58%E -23.53%K -43.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -47.13%E -20.49%K -36.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +24.76%E +15.29%K +39.94%G +9.89% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -48.28%E -21.46%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV +20.91%E +13.32%K +36.69%G +7.67% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -49.43%E -22.47%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 19:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.652%E -0.506%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -21.85%E -6.43%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.42%E -1.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -14.95%E -4.04%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.19%E -1.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.96%E -2.35%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.73%E -2.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -17.25%E -4.79%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -4.50%E -3.63%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -18.40%E -5.18%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.14%E +0.259%K +0.335%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.16%E -0.270%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.04%E -4.95%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV +6.66%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.122% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.74%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.091% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.31%E -0.543%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.58%E -6.32%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -0.470%E -0.108%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.29%EV -8.35%E -7.02%K -43.97%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -11.96%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.12%E -7.73%K -50.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.46%E -0.823%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.89%E -8.46%K -58.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.44%E +0.764%K +0.982%G +0.034% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Novig | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |